After Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore was released in markets including the United States on April 15, the box office figures for the film painted a complicated picture. Over a week has passed since, and another question has arisen, this time by way of a press release from online casino PartyCasino and Intelligiants. That question is this: With the Wizarding World films at $9,198,243,071 in box office sales as of April 14, will Secrets of Dumbledore carry the franchise over the $10 billion mark?

From what we can tell based on PartyCasino’s infographic and other sources, it looks like it could be a while, but it’s not completely impossible. If we take that figure of $9,198,243,071, that means that Secrets of Dumbledore would need to bring in above the equivalent of $801,756,929 globally. (Note that this figure is just an estimate, since the film was released in many markets before April 14.) According to Box Office Mojo, as of April 24, Secrets of Dumbledore is sitting at $280,327,000 worldwide. For some comparison, we have The Batman, which stars multiple Wizarding World alumni and was released on March 4 in the United States. According to the same table from Box Office Mojo, The Batman has brought in $754,317,661.

Looking at information for Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows – Part 2 on Box Office Mojo, that film brought in $1,341,511,219 during its original release, while PartyCasino gives that number as $1,328,766,590. In comparison, Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them brought in $814,037,575 during its original release according to Box Office Mojo (and $811,724,385 according to PartyCasino). In other words, the target that Secrets of Dumbledore would need to hit is less than what the first Fantastic Beasts film grossed worldwide.

So, what do you think? Could Secrets of Dumbledore take the Wizarding World films above the $10 billion mark, or will we be waiting to celebrate this milestone? Tell us your thoughts in the comments below.